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The Weekly Commerce Plan: High Inventory Concepts & In-Depth Execution Technique – Week of December 2, 2024

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Merchants,

I hope you all had a beautiful Thanksgiving vacation!

As all the time, I look ahead to sharing my high concepts with you for the upcoming week. On this Watchlist, I’ll share my high concepts and plans for every thought, together with my exact entry and exit targets. 

So, let’s soar proper into it.

Frontside / Momentum in UMAC (Drone Business)

After it was introduced that Trump Jr. joined the advisory board, the identify ignited, and so did the trade, leading to a theme play. Am I short-biased proper now? No. Why? The inventory closed above VWAP and stays in an uptrend. Subsequently, it’s nonetheless on the frontside, and momentum longs intraday are legitimate. 

*Please notice that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the affect, if any, of sure market elements similar to liquidity, slippage and commissions.

Now, all of it depends upon the place this opens on Monday. I might be keen on a possible FRD setup if this gaps down. In that situation, I might be searching for the inventory to stay heavy beneath VWAP and the $17 key space from Friday for a transfer towards $14, the place the squeeze and breakout intraday started. Alternatively, a failed push to inexperienced and affirmation of a failed follow-through setup. 

Alternatively, if the inventory gaps up or opens flat, washes out, and reclaims VWAP, I might be targeted solely on additional upside for a possible parabolic transfer. In that situation, I might be targeted on momentum longs intraday till the inventory goes parabolic (a number of ATR extension over VWAP Intraday and quantity exhaust), through which case I’ll then shift to a brief bias and look to carry a core for in a single day swing. 

Preserve it easy and bear in mind to think about: float measurement, what facet of VWAP the inventory is buying and selling, quantity intraday, holding above the day gone by’s excessive/key help? And whether or not the uptrend is unbroken.

Sympathy names on watch with UMAC: UAVS, JOBY.

UMAC is the chief and so-called head of the snake right here. I’ll carefully monitor sympathy names for lengthy and short-reactive trades to UMAC. For instance, if UMAC traps and breaks out, I might search for reactive momentum longs. As soon as the highest is in, I’ll look to brief the sympathy shares versus the HOD intraday and potential in a single day brief swing if we get a weak shut. 

Consolidation Breakout in VST

The Concept and Plan: Easy consolidation breakout setup within the main inventory inside the nuclear power theme and one of many top-performing S&P 500 shares YTD.  I like how VST aligns throughout a number of timeframes and has contracted quantity and vary throughout this consolidation. 

vst

*Please notice that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the affect, if any, of sure market elements similar to liquidity, slippage and commissions.

Subsequently, maintaining it easy, I’m searching for a burst in quantity and worth to push above the $162 mark. If that materializes, I’ll look to get lengthy on dips risking versus the LOD. The primary goal can be an ATR up transfer towards the $168 – $170 potential resistance space to take off half of the place and path the remaining versus the day’s low, focusing on a multi-day / 3-day transfer.

Extra Names on Watch with Alerts:

MSTR / Bitcoin: $100k BTC stays a notable space of curiosity. In that regard, I keep the same plan and general ideas as to final week’s watchlist. That plan stays related for the upcoming week. 

mstr

*Please notice that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the affect, if any, of sure market elements similar to liquidity, slippage and commissions.

IONQ, QBTS, QUBT: Once more, identical ideas as final week. Watching the sector and its chief, IONQ, for indicators of exhaust / parabolic and momentum shift for a number of days of revenue taking.

ionq

*Please notice that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the affect, if any, of sure market elements similar to liquidity, slippage and commissions.

Failed-Observe By in COIN: Notable rel. Weak point in COIN to different crypto-names, as many anticipated a breakout within the inventory. Taken with momentum brief alternatives beneath key help close to $290 – $288 for fast flushes.

COIN

*Please notice that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t replicate the affect, if any, of sure market elements similar to liquidity, slippage and commissions.

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