HomeTradingNasdaq 100 Breakout Pullback Beneath 7-29 Low?

Nasdaq 100 Breakout Pullback Beneath 7-29 Low?

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Market Overview: NASDAQ 100 Emini Futures

The NASDAQ Emini futures week is a doji bull bar with a small physique and an extended tail under. It’s extra probably a breakout pullback under 7-29 low because it fell far sufficient under final week’s low despite the fact that it appears to be like like a reversal bar.

On the every day chart, the market had massive days on 4 of the 5 days of the week.

The month-to-month chart is a really massive bar, with a large bear physique however an enormous tail under. There are 3 extra weeks left within the month, although it isn’t probably the vary of the bar will lengthen past this week’s low. Bears wish to shut the month close to the low, whereas bulls would love the other.

NASDAQ 100 Emini futures

The Weekly NASDAQ chart

  • The week is a bull doji bar with a small physique and an extended tail under.
  • Whereas final week’s report had mentioned this week would probably be a doji bar round final week’s shut, the market early Monday morning was an enormous bear pattern bar far under final week’s low.
  • It is a shock, so probably there are extra sellers above than patrons, and the market will make one other try on the low of this week. Bulls will want a micro double-bottom (DB) a minimum of.
  • This week will probably behave just like the week of 2-22-2022, which was adopted by bear bars the next two weeks and the market fell under the low of the week of 2-22 (proven by the purple shaded area on the chart).
  • The query to ask right here is – If a bull had been to purchase above this week, and put a cease under the low of the week, is it a 60% likelihood their cease will get hit earlier than they make 1X? Sure, it’s probably their cease will get hit. During which case, any individual shopping for right here should go for 2X the Danger/Reward, and which is why there’ll probably be extra sellers than patrons.
  • Does that imply there couldn’t be a few bull bars above to the exponential shifting common (EMA)? Probably. It’s attainable, bears will wait until the weekly EMA to promote.
  • Identical to the 2-22-2022 bar although, there are probably extra patrons under the low of the bar than above. The low of the bar can be near the month-to-month EMA which ought to discover patrons.

The Every day NASDAQ chart

Nasdaq Daily Big Bars with trading range price action
  • This week had massive days day-after-day besides Friday. Monday gapped down, went under the shut of April 19th and ended the day with an enormous tail under.
  • Tuesday discovered sellers above Monday excessive and ended the day as a doji bar across the high half of Monday. Wednesday was a bear outdoors bar closing close to the low of Tuesday.
  • Thursday was an enormous outdoors up bar closing just under Wednesday excessive. Friday was a bull doji follow-through bar, with a detailed above Thursday’s excessive.
  • Thursday and Friday are sufficient of a shock up that there needs to be a 2nd leg sideways to up.
  • The report from a few weeks in the past had mentioned that there have been a couple of open bull physique gaps from the excessive of March that may probably shut. These closed final week.
  • The following fascinating bear goal is the low shut of April 19th. This was a bear micro-channel the place the shut of 4/19 bear bar was not sufficiently examined. It was examined on Monday earlier than the common buying and selling hours.
  • It’s prone to be examined once more in the course of the common buying and selling hours, and a detailed under that shut as nicely.
  • The every day and weekly EMA are coming collectively once more for the primary time since October 2023. At this level, each the EMAs will probably be resistance a minimum of on the primary try up.
  • Bears would love Monday to hole down and begin its method down. Bulls wish to take the market to the EMA whether or not by going up or sideways.

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